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11 questions · 1 formulas
t-statistic
t = (b − β_H0) / SE(b)
Trap: Usually β_H0 = 0. Critical 1.645 / 1.96 / 2.576 for 10/5/1%.
Hypothesis TestingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas examplesqft coefficient = 144.862 and SE = 6.346. What is the t-statistic?
→ B) 22.827
Canvas Example MCQ — Q59
- A) 0.044
- B) 22.827
- C) 2.283
- D) 0.000
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
t = 144.862 / 6.346 ≈ 22.827.
Rule: For H0: β=0, t = coefficient / standard error.
Hypothesis TestingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleWhat is the general form of a t-statistic?
→ C) (estimator - hypothesized value) / standard error of estimator
Canvas Example MCQ — Q60
- A) (estimate - hypothesized value) / standard error of the estimate
- B) estimator / standard error of estimator
- C) (estimator - hypothesized value) / standard error of estimator
- D) (estimator - hypothesized value) / (standard error of estimator / sqrt(n))
A t-statistic measures how many standard errors the estimate lies from the null value.
Rule: General t = (estimate - null value)/SE.
Hypothesis TestingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleSTR coefficient = -1.10 and |t| = 2.56. Approximate SE?
→ D) 0.43
Canvas Example MCQ — Q62
- A) 0.25
- B) 1.96
- C) 0.650
- D) 0.43
SE = 1.10/2.56 ≈ 0.4297.
Rule: Same t-stat rearrangement applies in multiple regression.
Hypothesis TestingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleCorrect decision rule for a two-sided test at 5%?
→ B) Reject H0 if p < 0.05.
Canvas Example MCQ — Q69
- A) Reject H0 if p > 0.05.
- B) Reject H0 if p < 0.05.
- C) Reject H0 only if the coefficient is positive.
- D) Reject H0 only if the t-statistic is positive.
The p-value is the smallest significance level at which H0 would be rejected.
Rule: Reject when p is smaller than α.
Normal DistributionD–A levelVery high priorityThe t-statistic for the ln(SQFT) (see ln_sqft) is closest to_________.
→ C) 56.99
Old Exam — Oct 2021, Q19
Given: ln(SQFT) coefficient=.892479, SE=.015659.
- A) 5.69
- B) 0.00
- C) 56.99
- D) Not possible to compute given the information in the summary output.
t=b/SE=0.892479/0.015659≈56.99 -> C.
Rule: Identify model units and form before calculating. Never confuse coefficient size, significance, R2 and prediction accuracy.
Omitted Variable BiasD–A levelHigh priorityThe STR coefficient falls in magnitude from -2.280 (Model 1, no controls) to -1.014 (Model 5, with controls), while its sign stays negative. What is the best interpretation?
→ A) This pattern is consistent with omitted variable bias in Model 1, but the coefficient change alone does not prove STR's effect is causal
Computer Lab 4 — Exercise 2, Task 6 (comparison)
- A) This pattern is consistent with omitted variable bias in Model 1, but the coefficient change alone does not prove STR's effect is causal
- B) This proves Model 1 was causal and Model 5 is biased
- C) This proves STR has no real relationship with test scores
- D) This change in magnitude automatically makes the Model 5 coefficient statistically insignificant
A shrinking coefficient magnitude after adding plausible confounders is consistent with OVB in the simpler model, but establishing causality requires more than observing a coefficient change; significance must be checked separately using SEs/t-stats.
Rule: Coefficient movement across specifications is suggestive of OVB, not conclusive proof of causality or (in)significance.
Hypothesis TestingD–A levelHigh priorityWith df = n − k − 1 = 420 − 4 − 1 = 415, the two-sided 5% critical value is |t| = 1.9657. The reported t-statistic for el_pct is -3.581. Should H0: β_el_pct = 0 be rejected at the 5% level?
→ A) Yes, because |-3.581| = 3.581 > 1.9657
Computer Lab 4 — Exercise 3, Task 2c
- A) Yes, because |-3.581| = 3.581 > 1.9657
- B) No, because 3.581 < 1.9657 is false reasoning so fail to reject
- C) Cannot be determined without the p-value
- D) No, because t-statistics cannot be used for two-sided tests
Reject H0 when |t| exceeds the critical value: |-3.581| = 3.581, which exceeds 1.9657, so H0 is rejected at the 5% level.
Rule: Two-sided rule: reject H0 if |t| > t_critical.
Hypothesis TestingE-levelHigh priorityThe reported t-statistic for calw_pct is -0.816, and the two-sided critical value at 5% (df=415) is 1.9657. What is the correct conclusion?
→ A) Fail to reject H0, since |-0.816| = 0.816 < 1.9657
Computer Lab 4 — Exercise 3, Task 2c
- A) Fail to reject H0, since |-0.816| = 0.816 < 1.9657
- B) Reject H0, since the t-statistic is negative
- C) Reject H0 at 5% but not at 1%
- D) The test is inconclusive without more data
Since 0.816 is less than every critical value in the table (including the loosest, 1.9657 at 5%), H0 is not rejected at any conventional significance level.
Rule: A negative t-statistic is judged by its absolute value against the critical value, not its sign alone.
Hypothesis TestingE-levelHigh priorityFor the same α and the same two-sided test specification, do the p-value method and the critical-value (t-statistic) method always produce the same reject/fail-to-reject decision?
→ A) True — they are equivalent decision rules for the same test
Computer Lab 4 — Exercise 3, Task 2d
- A) True — they are equivalent decision rules for the same test
- B) False — the t-statistic method is more conservative
- C) False — the p-value method is only valid for one-sided tests
- D) True, but only when the sample size exceeds 1000
Both approaches test the same null against the same alternative using the same α, so 'p-value < α' and '|t| > t_critical' always agree for a correctly specified two-sided test.
Rule: p-value method and critical-value method are mathematically equivalent given the same α and test.
Regression BasicsE-levelVery high prioritySwitching from Excel's standard OLS output to Python's HC1 robust standard errors for the same ln(PRICE) regression, which outputs should remain identical, and which can change?
→ A) Coefficients and fitted values stay the same; standard errors, t-statistics and p-values can differ
Computer Lab 5 — Exercise 4, Robust SE
- A) Coefficients and fitted values stay the same; standard errors, t-statistics and p-values can differ
- B) Everything, including coefficients, changes
- C) Only the R² changes
- D) Coefficients change but standard errors stay identical
OLS point estimates and fitted values depend only on the OLS fitting procedure, which is unaffected by the choice of variance estimator; only the estimated standard errors (and resulting t-stats/p-values) can change with HC1.
Rule: HC1 robust SEs change only the measure of estimation uncertainty, not the OLS coefficients themselves.
ProbitE-levelVery high priorityIn a Probit model P(ADJUST=1) = Φ[-7.0166 + 0.5301·FIXRATE - 0.2675·MARGIN + 0.0864·NETWORTH], with t-statistics of 2.09, -2.05, and 2.44 respectively and a two-sided 5% critical t-value of about 1.993 (df=74), which variables are statistically significant at the 5% level?
→ A) All three: FIXRATE, MARGIN, and NETWORTH
Computer Lab 6 — Exercise 3, Model 1 signs
- A) All three: FIXRATE, MARGIN, and NETWORTH
- B) Only NETWORTH
- C) None are significant
- D) Only FIXRATE and NETWORTH
All three absolute t-statistics (2.09, 2.05, 2.44) exceed the critical value of 1.993, so all three coefficients are statistically significant at the 5% level.
Rule: Compare |t| to the critical value for each coefficient individually to assess significance.