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14 questions · 1 formulas
Geometric mean
G = [(1+r1)(1+r2)…(1+rn)]^(1/n) − 1
Trap: Geometric ≤ arithmetic. A −50% loss needs +100% to recover.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleReturns 10% and 10%. Geometric mean?
→ B) 10%
Canvas Example MCQ — Q39
- A) 5%
- B) 10%
- C) 20%
- D) 21%
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
[(1.10)(1.10)]^(1/2)-1 = 1.10-1 = 10%.
Rule: Arithmetic and geometric means are equal when annual returns are identical.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleReturns 20% and 0%. Geometric mean?
→ A) 9.54%
Canvas Example MCQ — Q40
- A) 9.54%
- B) 10.00%
- C) 20.00%
- D) 20.95%
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
√(1.20 x 1.00)-1 = √1.20 -1 ≈ 0.09545 = 9.54%.
Rule: Compound gross returns, not percentages directly.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleInvestment grows from SEK 100 to SEK 121 over two years. Annual geometric return?
→ B) 10%
Canvas Example MCQ — Q41
- A) 5%
- B) 10%
- C) 20%
- D) 21%
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
(121/100)^(1/2)-1 = 1.10-1 = 10%.
Rule: CAGR uses beginning and ending wealth.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleReturns 20% and 0%. Compare arithmetic and geometric means.
→ A) Arithmetic mean = 10%; geometric mean ≈ 9.54%.
Canvas Example MCQ — Q42
- A) Arithmetic mean = 10%; geometric mean ≈ 9.54%.
- B) Arithmetic mean ≈ 9.54%; geometric mean = 10%.
- C) Both means are exactly 10%.
- D) Geometric mean return is 0%.
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
Arithmetic = (20+0)/2 = 10%. Geometric = √1.20-1 ≈ 9.54%.
Rule: Volatility creates a compounding drag.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleTwo-year returns are 10% and R2. Geometric mean is 5%. Find R2.
→ B) 0.23%
Canvas Example MCQ — Q44
- A) -2.50%
- B) 0.23%
- C) 2.50%
- D) 5.00%
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
(1.10)(1+R2) = 1.05^2 = 1.1025. Thus 1+R2 = 1.1025/1.10 = 1.002273, so R2 ≈ 0.23%.
Rule: For a geometric target, set the product of gross returns equal to (1+target)^n.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleInvestment A returns 10%,10%; Investment B returns 30%,-10%. Both arithmetic means are 10%. Which has higher geometric mean?
→ B) Both have the same arithmetic mean, but Investment A has the higher geometric mean.
Canvas Example MCQ — Q45
- A) Both investments have the same arithmetic and geometric means.
- B) Both have the same arithmetic mean, but Investment A has the higher geometric mean.
- C) Investment B has the higher arithmetic and geometric means.
- D) Investment B has the higher geometric mean because its first-year return is higher.
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
A geometric = 10%. B geometric = √(1.30 x .90)-1 = √1.17-1 ≈ 8.17%. Greater variation lowers compound growth.
Rule: Same arithmetic mean does not imply same compound performance.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleInitial value SEK 100,000; geometric mean 8% for 3 years. Ending value?
→ C) SEK 125,971
Canvas Example MCQ — Q46
- A) SEK 108,000
- B) SEK 124,000
- C) SEK 125,971
- D) SEK 132,000
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
100,000 x 1.08^3 = 125,971.2.
Rule: Use compound growth from the geometric mean.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleInvestment grows from 100 to 144 over two years. Required geometric mean?
→ B) 20%
Canvas Example MCQ — Q47
- A) 18%
- B) 20%
- C) 22%
- D) 44%
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
(144/100)^(1/2)-1 = √1.44-1 = 1.20-1 = 20%.
Rule: CAGR is the constant annual compound rate.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleReturns +25% then -20%. Which statement about arithmetic and geometric means is correct?
→ A) Arithmetic mean = 2.5%, geometric mean = 0%.
Canvas Example MCQ — Q48
- A) Arithmetic mean = 2.5%, geometric mean = 0%.
- B) Both arithmetic and geometric means are 2.5%.
- C) Arithmetic mean = 0%, geometric mean = 2.5%.
- D) The cumulative two-year return is 5%.
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
Arithmetic = (25-20)/2 = 2.5%. Gross wealth = 1.25 x .80 = 1.00, so geometric mean = 0%.
Rule: Positive arithmetic mean can coexist with zero cumulative wealth growth.
Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas exampleReturns are +20%, -10%, R3. Target geometric mean = 5% over 3 years. Find R3.
→ C) 7.2%
Canvas Example MCQ — Q50
- A) -3.0%
- B) 2.0%
- C) 7.2%
- D) 12.5%
- E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.
1.20 x .90 x (1+R3) = 1.05^3 = 1.157625. Thus 1+R3 = 1.157625/1.08 = 1.071875 -> R3 ≈ 7.19%.
Rule: Set the product of gross returns equal to the target compound growth factor.
Returns & CompoundingE-levelVery high prioritySuppose that you purchased a house in the US 2000:Q1 for $2.5 million. If the price of that house has followed the US house price index until 2022:Q2, what is the geometric mean quarterly return of your house investment? How much was the house worth 2022:Q2?
→ D) The geometric mean returns is 1.113 %, and the house was worth $ 6 692 431
Old Exam — Oct 2022, Q9
Given: Historical HPI dataset question. Current adaptation: ending value = initial value x index_end/index_start; geometric quarterly return = (ending/beginning)^(1/n)-1.
- A) The geometric mean returns is 1.126 %, and the house was worth $6 772 849
- B) The geometric mean returns is 1.279 %, and the house was worth $ 7 749 444
- C) The geometric mean returns is 1.240 %, and the house was worth $ 7 485 119
- D) The geometric mean returns is 1.113 %, and the house was worth $ 6 692 431
- E) None of the above (A, B, C, D) is close to be correct.
Historical external-data result: D) The geometric mean returns is 1.113 %, and the house was worth $ 6 692 431. Current paper-exam use: if the needed index levels/returns are supplied, apply the relevant return, compounding or correlation formula by hand; do not depend on the old spreadsheet.
Rule: The old exam supplied a spreadsheet/software. For the 2026 paper exam, expect the necessary values/table/output to be printed. Use the method, not the historical data file.
Returns & CompoundingD–A levelVery high priorityFor the entire time period, December 1971 to September 2021, what is the monthly geometric mean return?
→ B) 0.93%.
Old Exam — Dec 2021 re-exam, Q11
Given: Historical REIT data; geometric monthly mean is compound growth rate.
- A) 1.05%.
- B) 0.93%.
- C) 12.05%.
- D) 2.25%.
- E) None of the above (A, B, C, D) is close to be correct.
Historical external-data result: B) 0.93%.. Current paper-exam use: if the needed index levels/returns are supplied, apply the relevant return, compounding or correlation formula by hand; do not depend on the old spreadsheet.
Rule: The old exam supplied a spreadsheet/software. For the 2026 paper exam, expect the necessary values/table/output to be printed. Use the method, not the historical data file.
Returns & CompoundingE-levelVery high priorityS&P 500 annual total returns for 2000-2025 (26 years) sum to 248.89%. What is the Arithmetic Average Historical Return?
→ A) 9.57%
Computer Lab 2 — Exercise 2B(ii)
- A) 9.57%
- B) 7.99%
- C) 248.89%
- D) 12.04%
Arithmetic mean = Sum of returns / n = 248.89% / 26 = 9.57%.
Rule: Arithmetic mean = (R1+R2+...+Rn)/n — a simple average of each period's return.
Returns & CompoundingD–A levelVery high priorityFor the S&P 500 over 26 years (2000-2025), the product of all annual growth factors (1+R_t) is approximately 7.3844. What is the Geometric Average Historical Return (CAGR), and why is it lower than the arithmetic mean of 9.57%?
→ A) CAGR ≈ 7.99%; lower due to volatility drag, since losses and gains compound asymmetrically
Computer Lab 2 — Exercise 2B(iii)
- A) CAGR ≈ 7.99%; lower due to volatility drag, since losses and gains compound asymmetrically
- B) CAGR ≈ 9.57%; identical to the arithmetic mean by definition
- C) CAGR ≈ 28.40%; higher than the arithmetic mean because it compounds all years
- D) CAGR ≈ 7.3844%; equal to the growth-factor product read as a percentage
CAGR = 7.3844^(1/26) − 1 = 7.99%. Volatility drag: e.g., +50% then −50% averages to an arithmetic mean of 0%, but wealth goes 100→150→75, a geometric loss — so geometric mean is always ≤ arithmetic mean when returns vary.
Rule: Geometric mean (CAGR) ≤ arithmetic mean whenever returns are volatile; the gap is caused by 'volatility drag'.