QUANT LAB
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14 questions · 1 formulas

Geometric mean

G = [(1+r1)(1+r2)…(1+rn)]^(1/n) − 1

Trap: Geometric ≤ arithmetic. A −50% loss needs +100% to recover.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Returns 10% and 10%. Geometric mean?

→ B) 10%

Canvas Example MCQ — Q39

  • A) 5%
  • B) 10%
  • C) 20%
  • D) 21%
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

[(1.10)(1.10)]^(1/2)-1 = 1.10-1 = 10%.

Rule: Arithmetic and geometric means are equal when annual returns are identical.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Returns 20% and 0%. Geometric mean?

→ A) 9.54%

Canvas Example MCQ — Q40

  • A) 9.54%
  • B) 10.00%
  • C) 20.00%
  • D) 20.95%
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

√(1.20 x 1.00)-1 = √1.20 -1 ≈ 0.09545 = 9.54%.

Rule: Compound gross returns, not percentages directly.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Investment grows from SEK 100 to SEK 121 over two years. Annual geometric return?

→ B) 10%

Canvas Example MCQ — Q41

  • A) 5%
  • B) 10%
  • C) 20%
  • D) 21%
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

(121/100)^(1/2)-1 = 1.10-1 = 10%.

Rule: CAGR uses beginning and ending wealth.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Returns 20% and 0%. Compare arithmetic and geometric means.

→ A) Arithmetic mean = 10%; geometric mean ≈ 9.54%.

Canvas Example MCQ — Q42

  • A) Arithmetic mean = 10%; geometric mean ≈ 9.54%.
  • B) Arithmetic mean ≈ 9.54%; geometric mean = 10%.
  • C) Both means are exactly 10%.
  • D) Geometric mean return is 0%.
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

Arithmetic = (20+0)/2 = 10%. Geometric = √1.20-1 ≈ 9.54%.

Rule: Volatility creates a compounding drag.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Two-year returns are 10% and R2. Geometric mean is 5%. Find R2.

→ B) 0.23%

Canvas Example MCQ — Q44

  • A) -2.50%
  • B) 0.23%
  • C) 2.50%
  • D) 5.00%
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

(1.10)(1+R2) = 1.05^2 = 1.1025. Thus 1+R2 = 1.1025/1.10 = 1.002273, so R2 ≈ 0.23%.

Rule: For a geometric target, set the product of gross returns equal to (1+target)^n.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Investment A returns 10%,10%; Investment B returns 30%,-10%. Both arithmetic means are 10%. Which has higher geometric mean?

→ B) Both have the same arithmetic mean, but Investment A has the higher geometric mean.

Canvas Example MCQ — Q45

  • A) Both investments have the same arithmetic and geometric means.
  • B) Both have the same arithmetic mean, but Investment A has the higher geometric mean.
  • C) Investment B has the higher arithmetic and geometric means.
  • D) Investment B has the higher geometric mean because its first-year return is higher.
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

A geometric = 10%. B geometric = √(1.30 x .90)-1 = √1.17-1 ≈ 8.17%. Greater variation lowers compound growth.

Rule: Same arithmetic mean does not imply same compound performance.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Initial value SEK 100,000; geometric mean 8% for 3 years. Ending value?

→ C) SEK 125,971

Canvas Example MCQ — Q46

  • A) SEK 108,000
  • B) SEK 124,000
  • C) SEK 125,971
  • D) SEK 132,000
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

100,000 x 1.08^3 = 125,971.2.

Rule: Use compound growth from the geometric mean.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Investment grows from 100 to 144 over two years. Required geometric mean?

→ B) 20%

Canvas Example MCQ — Q47

  • A) 18%
  • B) 20%
  • C) 22%
  • D) 44%
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

(144/100)^(1/2)-1 = √1.44-1 = 1.20-1 = 20%.

Rule: CAGR is the constant annual compound rate.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Returns +25% then -20%. Which statement about arithmetic and geometric means is correct?

→ A) Arithmetic mean = 2.5%, geometric mean = 0%.

Canvas Example MCQ — Q48

  • A) Arithmetic mean = 2.5%, geometric mean = 0%.
  • B) Both arithmetic and geometric means are 2.5%.
  • C) Arithmetic mean = 0%, geometric mean = 2.5%.
  • D) The cumulative two-year return is 5%.
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

Arithmetic = (25-20)/2 = 2.5%. Gross wealth = 1.25 x .80 = 1.00, so geometric mean = 0%.

Rule: Positive arithmetic mean can coexist with zero cumulative wealth growth.

Returns & CompoundingE-level★ High priority — official Canvas example

Returns are +20%, -10%, R3. Target geometric mean = 5% over 3 years. Find R3.

→ C) 7.2%

Canvas Example MCQ — Q50

  • A) -3.0%
  • B) 2.0%
  • C) 7.2%
  • D) 12.5%
  • E) None of A-D is close; write the correct answer.

1.20 x .90 x (1+R3) = 1.05^3 = 1.157625. Thus 1+R3 = 1.157625/1.08 = 1.071875 -> R3 ≈ 7.19%.

Rule: Set the product of gross returns equal to the target compound growth factor.

Returns & CompoundingE-levelVery high priority

Suppose that you purchased a house in the US 2000:Q1 for $2.5 million. If the price of that house has followed the US house price index until 2022:Q2, what is the geometric mean quarterly return of your house investment? How much was the house worth 2022:Q2?

→ D) The geometric mean returns is 1.113 %, and the house was worth $ 6 692 431

Old Exam — Oct 2022, Q9

Given: Historical HPI dataset question. Current adaptation: ending value = initial value x index_end/index_start; geometric quarterly return = (ending/beginning)^(1/n)-1.

  • A) The geometric mean returns is 1.126 %, and the house was worth $6 772 849
  • B) The geometric mean returns is 1.279 %, and the house was worth $ 7 749 444
  • C) The geometric mean returns is 1.240 %, and the house was worth $ 7 485 119
  • D) The geometric mean returns is 1.113 %, and the house was worth $ 6 692 431
  • E) None of the above (A, B, C, D) is close to be correct.

Historical external-data result: D) The geometric mean returns is 1.113 %, and the house was worth $ 6 692 431. Current paper-exam use: if the needed index levels/returns are supplied, apply the relevant return, compounding or correlation formula by hand; do not depend on the old spreadsheet.

Rule: The old exam supplied a spreadsheet/software. For the 2026 paper exam, expect the necessary values/table/output to be printed. Use the method, not the historical data file.

Returns & CompoundingD–A levelVery high priority

For the entire time period, December 1971 to September 2021, what is the monthly geometric mean return?

→ B) 0.93%.

Old Exam — Dec 2021 re-exam, Q11

Given: Historical REIT data; geometric monthly mean is compound growth rate.

  • A) 1.05%.
  • B) 0.93%.
  • C) 12.05%.
  • D) 2.25%.
  • E) None of the above (A, B, C, D) is close to be correct.

Historical external-data result: B) 0.93%.. Current paper-exam use: if the needed index levels/returns are supplied, apply the relevant return, compounding or correlation formula by hand; do not depend on the old spreadsheet.

Rule: The old exam supplied a spreadsheet/software. For the 2026 paper exam, expect the necessary values/table/output to be printed. Use the method, not the historical data file.

Returns & CompoundingE-levelVery high priority

S&P 500 annual total returns for 2000-2025 (26 years) sum to 248.89%. What is the Arithmetic Average Historical Return?

→ A) 9.57%

Computer Lab 2 — Exercise 2B(ii)

  • A) 9.57%
  • B) 7.99%
  • C) 248.89%
  • D) 12.04%

Arithmetic mean = Sum of returns / n = 248.89% / 26 = 9.57%.

Rule: Arithmetic mean = (R1+R2+...+Rn)/n — a simple average of each period's return.

Returns & CompoundingD–A levelVery high priority

For the S&P 500 over 26 years (2000-2025), the product of all annual growth factors (1+R_t) is approximately 7.3844. What is the Geometric Average Historical Return (CAGR), and why is it lower than the arithmetic mean of 9.57%?

→ A) CAGR ≈ 7.99%; lower due to volatility drag, since losses and gains compound asymmetrically

Computer Lab 2 — Exercise 2B(iii)

  • A) CAGR ≈ 7.99%; lower due to volatility drag, since losses and gains compound asymmetrically
  • B) CAGR ≈ 9.57%; identical to the arithmetic mean by definition
  • C) CAGR ≈ 28.40%; higher than the arithmetic mean because it compounds all years
  • D) CAGR ≈ 7.3844%; equal to the growth-factor product read as a percentage

CAGR = 7.3844^(1/26) − 1 = 7.99%. Volatility drag: e.g., +50% then −50% averages to an arithmetic mean of 0%, but wealth goes 100→150→75, a geometric loss — so geometric mean is always ≤ arithmetic mean when returns vary.

Rule: Geometric mean (CAGR) ≤ arithmetic mean whenever returns are volatile; the gap is caused by 'volatility drag'.